I think Klein is badly wrong on this, and has been the whole time. He's imagining scenarios in which variables all go the way he'd like, and confidently asserting them as likely—such as a contested convention that maneuvers around the vice president will go smoothly and end with everyone unifying—rather than recognizing how many factors …
I think Klein is badly wrong on this, and has been the whole time. He's imagining scenarios in which variables all go the way he'd like, and confidently asserting them as likely—such as a contested convention that maneuvers around the vice president will go smoothly and end with everyone unifying—rather than recognizing how many factors are uncertain and could easily break another way.
It's like he's writing a TV show he and people like him would enjoy, not assessing risk in a high stakes real-world competition that heavily depends on people who aren't like him.
I think Klein is badly wrong on this, and has been the whole time. He's imagining scenarios in which variables all go the way he'd like, and confidently asserting them as likely—such as a contested convention that maneuvers around the vice president will go smoothly and end with everyone unifying—rather than recognizing how many factors are uncertain and could easily break another way.
It's like he's writing a TV show he and people like him would enjoy, not assessing risk in a high stakes real-world competition that heavily depends on people who aren't like him.